哲学社会科学版
陕西师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版)
区域经济学研究
中国经济增长的动力转换与区域差异
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袁晓玲, 班斓
(西安交通大学 经济与金融学院, 陕西 西安 710061)
袁晓玲,女,陕西周至人,经济学博士,西安交通大学经济与金融学院教授,博士研究生导师。
摘要:
基于中国1991—2014年省级面板数据,按照运用引入能源、环境的非参数经济增长核算框架,从时间维度探寻中国经济增长动力转换的动态轨迹,并细分八大区域考察其发展模式,可以发现:在时间维度上,以1996年、2009年为转折点,绿色TFP、资本、人力资本交替成为中国经济增长首要动力;依八大区域来看,东部和北部沿海是绿色可持续发展模式,南部沿海则依靠绿色TFP的同时较大依赖能源、环境,东北正从粗放型发展转变为集约型发展,黄河中游、长江中游、西南主要依靠要素投入,大西北仍主要依靠政策、资本的推动。
关键词:
经济增长; 动力转换; 能源环境约束; 八大区域
收稿日期:
2016-12-20
中图分类号:
F120.4
文献标识码:
A
文章编号:
1672-4283(2017)03-0048-12
基金项目:
教育部社科研究重大课题攻关项目“新常态下中国经济运行机制的变革与中国宏观调控模式重构研究”(15JZD012)
Doi:
The Propulsion, Transforation and Regional Difference of China’s Economic Growth
YUAN Xiaoling, BAN Lan
(School of Economics and Finance, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710061, Shaanxi)
Abstract:
Based on the provincial panel data of China from 1991 to 2014, the paper develops a noparameter framework under the constraints of energy and environment and introduces a centroid method model to explore the dynamic track of the propulsion transform and shift of economic growth in China from both temporal and spatial angles. From the temporal angle, green TFP, capital and human capital alternately become the primary propulsion of economic growth in China with 1996 and 2009 as the turning points. Moreover, from the spatial angle, the center of the economical growth shifts to the west along with the centers of capital and green TFP moving in the same direction, while the centers of labor, human capital, energy and environment have not totally moved the westward, finally coming back to east. Finally, from the angle of eight major regions, the development model of eastern and northern coastal areas is green and sustainable, while southern coastal areas rely on not only green TFP but also energy and environment.The development model of the northeast transforms from extensive to intensive, the midYellow and midYangtze river areas as well as the southwest mainly rely on inputs and northwest China still depends on policy and capital.
KeyWords:
economic growth; propulsion transform; energy and environmental constraints; eight regions