Environmental problems caused by microplastics (MPs) are attracting global attention. The ecological risks of bacteria attached to MPs have not been studied in detail under low temperature conditions. Here, MPs in surface water were sampled in winter from the Changjiang (or Yangtze) River Estuary. The physical and chemical characteristics of the MPs were identified, and the diversity and species composition of bacteria on the surface water MPs were analyzed. Phenotypic prediction analysis was used to analyze the potential risk of bacteria in the biofilm on the surfaces of MPs. The main chemical composition in the MPs in the surface water were PP (polypropylene), PE (polyethylene), PS (polystyrene) and other light weight MPs. Sampling sites played a decisive role in the bacterial species composition. The potential plastic-degrading bacterium Acinetobacter and the potential pathogenic bacterium Pseudomonas showed significant differences across different sampling sites. Microbial communities on the surfaces of MPs in winter were not significantly different from planktonic bacteria in the water body. Phenotypic prediction results showed that bacteria on the surface of MPs had a marked capacity to form biofilms, but a low pathogenicity risk. Based on the results of bio-diversity analysis and phenotypic prediction, the potential ecological risk of bacteria in biofilms on MP surfaces is lower at low temperatures. In addition, the numerical simulation results show that the possibility of bacteria attached to MPs from the Changjiang River entering the Pacific Ocean in winter is small. MPs attached bacteria in the Changjiang estuary have low ecological risk to the estuary and the Pacific Ocean in winter.